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Flood Potential Portal Enhancements for Trend Forecasting and Streamgage Flood-Frequency Analyses

Project Details

Agency/Division: U.S. Forest Service
Location: National Study

Contact Information

Project Manager: Steven Yochum
Email: steven.yochum@usda.gov

National Stream & Aquatic Ecology Center - Rocky Mountain Area/Fort Collins Office
Washington Office – Biological and Physical Resources Staff
2150 Centre Ave, Bldg. A, Suite 368
Fort Collins, CO 80526

Description

The U.S. Forest Service and Colorado State University developed the Flood Potential Portal to enhance the understanding of flood variability and quantify design flood discharges and flood frequency relationships. The software assists practitioners with assessments to support infrastructure decisions, including designing road-stream crossings. This project develops and implements new capacities for (1) advanced ensemble machine learning to improve forecasting of temporal trends in large floods due to changes in the underlying climatic, physiographic, and ecohydrologic conditions; and (2) ensemble modeling for streamgage flood-frequency, to address shortcomings of existing state-of-practice methods (e.g. Bulletin 17C) including assumptions about stationarity and identically distributed observations.

Status

Not Started

Deliverable

Software update: pending

For More Information

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
Currently unavailable

ORCID for the Principal Investigator
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1817-3260