This document is a “how-to” guidebook for agencies that are developing jurisdiction-specific safety performance functions (SPFs). The guidebook discusses the statistical issues associated with the development of jurisdiction-specific SPFs and provides a step-by-step procedure that states can use to develop jurisdiction-specific SPFs. Statistical issues covered in this guidebook include:
- Over-dispersion.
- Selection of Explanatory Variables.
- Functional Form of the Model and Explanatory Variables.
- Over-fitting of SPFs.
- Correlation among Explanatory Variables.
- Homogenous Segments and Aggregation.
- Presence of Outliers.
- Endogenous Explanatory Variables.
- Estimation of SPFs for Different Crash Types and Severities.
- Goodness of Fit.
Intended users include safety practitioners, consultants, and researchers. Users are expected to have more than a basic understanding of statistics.
- Federal Highway Administration (FHWA)
The guide is available free of charge at the following link: SPF Development Guide .