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U.S. Department of Transportation U.S. Department of Transportation Icon United States Department of Transportation United States Department of Transportation
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OFFICE OF RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT, AND TECHNOLOGY AT THE TURNER-FAIRBANK HIGHWAY RESEARCH CENTER

Incorporating Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) Approaches in Transportation Planning Activities: A Pilot Study

Project Information

Project ID:
FHWA-PROJ-19-0084
Project Abstract:

The deep uncertainty (associated with various disruptions in transportation) necessitates additional modeling and analysis tools. Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) approaches could serve as an additional tool for transportation agencies to gain insight of the impact of disruptive forces on transportation system and be proactive in safety and mobility planning. DMDU approaches use computer simulation and advanced modeling techniques to test a plan of strategies against thousands sometimes millions of plausible futures, and seeks near term strategies that perform reasonably well compared to the alternatives across a wide range of plausible scenarios (robust strategies). DMDU approaches have been applied in water resources management, climate changes, energy and other areas to facilitate deliberation with analysis 

The contractor will provide onsite and virtual training of DMDU techniques to planning agencies as part of evaluating DMDU approaches for transportation planning as an additional decision support tool. The project aims to generate meaningful and influential illustrations of the implementation of DMDU concepts and tools at the agency level. Successfully applying DMDU approaches in transportation planning would enhance our state, regional and local partners’ ability to engage various stakeholders, facilitate transportation project deliveries, and make it possible for agencies to take advantage new mobility technologies in achieving the community’s vision through exploration and adaptation.

Project Status:
Completed
Project Funding Amount (Contract Award Amount):
$249,964.00
Start Date:
End Date:
Public Access Plan:
Yes
Grant/Contract ID:
  • 693JJ319F000354
FHWA Program Area:
  • Planning, Environment, and Realty
Fiscal Year / AMRP Program / AMRP Activity:
  • FY 2002-2022 / Planning, Environment, and Realty / Modeling and Analysis Tools
  • FY 2002-2022 / Planning, Environment, and Realty / Planning for Bicycle and Pedestrian Safety, Connectivity, and Multimodal Mobility, including for Underserved Communities
  • FY 2002-2022 / Planning, Environment, and Realty / Resiliency
FHWA Activity:
  • Data and Analysis
Project Outputs:
  • Provide interactive onsite and virtual trainings and facilitations for two planning agencies.
  • Develop use cases, perform practical assessments and document lessons learned.

AMRP = Annual Modal Research Plan

Contact Information

First Name:
Sarah
Last Name:
Sun
Phone Number:
202-493-0071
Email Address:
Team:
Systems Planning and Analysis Team
Office:
Office of Planning
Office Code:
HEPP-30

Management Organizations

Sponsor Organization

Organization Role:
Sponsor Organization
Organization:
Federal Highway Administration: Office of Planning, Environment, and Realty - Office of Planning
Contact Role:
Contract Office Representative
Contact: